Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beniers wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 49.4% vs Stamkos 54.4% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 76.9%
Defensive zone
Beniers 85.3%
Neutral zone
Beniers 76.2%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Beniers
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Beniers
Stamkos
Last 8: Beniers 2-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Beniers
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Beniers
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Beniers
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (833)
55.8% (339)
-6.9%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
53.3% (90)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
62.5% (8)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Beniers is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Beniers shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Beniers
Stamkos
Home
52.4% (460)
53.4% (208)
Away
46.0% (441)
57.2% (229)
By Period
Beniers
Stamkos
P1
48.4%
55.3%
P2
51.1%
52.5%
P3
47.8%
58.9%
OT
66.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
45.5%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Stamkos
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 14:45 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 11:35 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 17:24 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 13:21 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 08:25 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |