Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Beniers wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 42.9% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 56.5%
Defensive zone
Beniers 56.2%
Neutral zone
Beniers 56.0%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Beniers
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Beniers
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Beniers
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (879)
55.3% (628)
-13.0%
Power Play
40.3% (72)
55.1% (216)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
40.2% (87)
+4.2%
On power play, Stamkos has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Beniers is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Beniers shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Beniers
Stamkos
Home
43.8% (495)
55.5% (499)
Away
40.5% (474)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Beniers
Stamkos
P1
43.3%
50.7%
P2
45.6%
53.8%
P3
38.2%
55.9%
OT
36.4%
87.5%
Final 5 min
42.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |