Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Beniers wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.7% vs Johnson 49.7% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 53.1%
Defensive zone
Beniers 54.6%
Neutral zone
Beniers 53.2%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Beniers
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Beniers
Johnson
Last 5: Beniers 2-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
3
Beniers
Johnson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,796)
49.8% (5,396)
-3.2%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
54.6% (885)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
42.3% (707)
-0.9%
On power play, Johnson has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Beniers is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,447).
Beniers shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Beniers
Johnson
Home
48.9% (2,195)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
44.2% (2,072)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Beniers
Johnson
P1
47.4%
50.1%
P2
47.1%
50.6%
P3
45.7%
48.4%
OT
34.1%
42.5%
Final 5 min
46.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 17:41 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 14:29 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |