Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beniers wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 49.2% vs Seguin 52.5% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 62.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 55.1%
Neutral zone
Beniers 52.9%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Beniers
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Beniers
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Beniers
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (647)
53.2% (201)
-4.4%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
60.0% (25)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
44.4% (9)
+5.6%
On power play, Seguin has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Beniers is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Beniers shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Beniers
Seguin
Home
52.7% (357)
56.3% (126)
Away
45.4% (348)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Beniers
Seguin
P1
47.9%
44.3%
P2
51.9%
52.1%
P3
46.8%
62.5%
OT
66.7%
80.0%
Final 5 min
42.8%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
64.0%▲
51.0%
49.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:18 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |