Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Beniers wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.7% vs Seguin 53.6% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 59.8%
Defensive zone
Seguin 69.9%
Neutral zone
Seguin 69.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Beniers
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Beniers
Seguin
Last 10: Beniers 5-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
3
1
Beniers
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
4
5
Beniers
Seguin
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,796)
53.7% (8,071)
-7.1%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
55.9% (810)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
49.3% (762)
-7.9%
On power play, Seguin has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Beniers is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,447).
Beniers shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Beniers
Seguin
Home
48.9% (2,195)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
44.2% (2,072)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Beniers
Seguin
P1
47.4%
52.8%
P2
47.1%
53.3%
P3
45.7%
54.7%
OT
34.1%
54.7%
Final 5 min
46.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:18 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 10:25 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 03:06 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |