Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beniers wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.6% vs Seguin 55.4% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 59.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 79.3%
Neutral zone
Seguin 81.4%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 71.8%
28.2%
71.8%
Beniers
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Beniers
Seguin
Last 8: Beniers 6-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
3
0
Beniers
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
3
2
Beniers
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (945)
56.9% (478)
-9.6%
Power Play
51.7% (145)
57.4% (54)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
23.8% (21)
51.3% (76)
-27.5%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Beniers is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Beniers shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Beniers
Seguin
Home
49.6% (565)
57.4% (317)
Away
45.2% (546)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Beniers
Seguin
P1
48.0%
50.3%
P2
49.0%
60.4%
P3
46.5%
58.0%
OT
23.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.5%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 10:25 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |