Matty Beniers vs William Karlsson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.8% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 53.0%
Defensive zone
Beniers 59.0%
Neutral zone
Beniers 55.1%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Beniers
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Beniers
Karlsson
Last 10: Beniers 5-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
3
Beniers
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Beniers
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
3
2
Beniers
Karlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,050)
58.6% (597)
-10.3%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
57.9% (57)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (39)
51.9% (52)
-8.3%
On power play, Karlsson has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Beniers is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Beniers shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Beniers
Karlsson
Home
48.7% (630)
59.6% (344)
Away
46.5% (564)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Beniers
Karlsson
P1
49.2%
53.1%
P2
45.0%
62.1%
P3
49.3%
60.1%
OT
22.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.6%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 13:58 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 08:09 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 08:45 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 04:25 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 16:07 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 15:57 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 10:15 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 18:38 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 19:31 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |