Matty Beniers vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.7% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 24-12 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 84.6%
Defensive zone
Beniers 90.2%
Neutral zone
Beniers 87.8%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 87.2%
87.2%
12.8%
Beniers
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
24
(36 meetings)
12
24
Beniers
Karlsson
Last 10: Beniers 4-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
5
9
Beniers
Karlsson
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
4
5
Beniers
Karlsson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
3
10
Beniers
Karlsson
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,796)
51.8% (7,849)
-5.2%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
54.8% (1,048)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
44.2% (1,109)
-2.8%
On power play, Karlsson has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Beniers is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,820).
Beniers shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Beniers
Karlsson
Home
48.9% (2,195)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
44.2% (2,072)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Beniers
Karlsson
P1
47.4%
50.3%
P2
47.1%
51.3%
P3
45.7%
52.4%
OT
34.1%
44.9%
Final 5 min
46.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:11 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 13:58 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 08:09 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 08:45 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 04:25 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 16:07 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 15:57 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 10:15 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 18:38 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 19:31 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 12, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 1, 2024 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 2 | 16:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |