Mavrik Bourque vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Bourque wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bourque 46.7% vs Backlund 49.7% (-4.6%)
Offensive zone
Bourque 69.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 74.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Bourque
Backlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bourque
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (181)
50.1% (891)
-3.1%
Power Play
25.0% (16)
53.1% (64)
-28.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
47.8% (278)
-4.9%
On power play, Backlund has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Bourque is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Bourque shoots right. Backlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Bourque
Backlund
Home
41.9% (105)
48.1% (580)
Away
48.5% (99)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Bourque
Backlund
P1
39.7%
45.1%
P2
39.3%
54.7%
P3
52.9%
49.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bourque
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%