Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.3%). Look for Domi on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Domi wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.0% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 67.0%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 51.0%
Neutral zone
Domi 50.3%
Result
Max Domi favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Domi
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Domi
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
0
Domi
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
2
1
Domi
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (394)
50.9% (913)
-1.2%
Power Play
51.7% (58)
59.0% (39)
-7.3%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Domi is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Domi shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Domi
Zibanejad
Home
53.2% (235)
51.1% (536)
Away
46.5% (217)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Domi
Zibanejad
P1
54.4%
50.1%
P2
46.6%
47.3%
P3
49.6%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.0%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 12:10 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 16:47 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 08:14 | Offensive | Max Domi |