Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 18 meetings). Domi wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 23-18 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 65.6%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 54.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 50.1%
Result
Max Domi favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Domi
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
23
(41 meetings)
18
23
Domi
Zibanejad
Last 10: Domi 6-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
8
5
Domi
Zibanejad
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
7
11
Domi
Zibanejad
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
7
Domi
Zibanejad
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (4,296)
50.9% (11,719)
-2.8%
Power Play
53.4% (633)
52.2% (1,849)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
41.5% (1,790)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Domi is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,629).
Domi shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,678).
Home / Away
Domi
Zibanejad
Home
49.7% (2,604)
51.6% (7,566)
Away
47.8% (2,366)
48.3% (7,793)
By Period
Domi
Zibanejad
P1
48.7%
50.4%
P2
48.3%
49.7%
P3
49.8%
49.8%
OT
43.5%
48.7%
Final 5 min
51.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 12:10 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 16:47 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 08:14 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 14:54 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 12:30 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:35 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 19:50 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 14:05 | Defensive | Max Domi |