Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cates on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Domi wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 53.3% vs Cates 40.4% (+14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 84.3%
Defensive zone
Domi 57.1%
Neutral zone
Domi 67.7%
Result
Max Domi favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Domi
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Domi
Cates
Last 7: Domi 4-3 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Domi
Cates
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
2
0
Domi
Cates
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
1
2
Domi
Cates
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (847)
40.4% (841)
+13.4%
Power Play
52.1% (96)
42.4% (66)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
32.7% (147)
+24.4%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Domi is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Domi shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Domi
Cates
Home
53.9% (445)
38.2% (566)
Away
53.5% (505)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Domi
Cates
P1
51.4%
40.5%
P2
55.3%
42.4%
P3
54.7%
35.3%
OT
41.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
59.2%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.7%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 04:50 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 09:55 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 07:19 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |