Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Cates 43.2% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 92.9%
Defensive zone
Domi 68.9%
Neutral zone
Domi 76.1%
Result
Max Domi favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Domi
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Domi
Cates
Last 10: Domi 8-2 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
3
1
Domi
Cates
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
3
0
Domi
Cates
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Domi
Cates
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (4,296)
44.1% (2,742)
+4.0%
Power Play
53.4% (633)
43.0% (242)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
34.9% (373)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,341).
Domi shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,284).
Home / Away
Domi
Cates
Home
49.7% (2,604)
43.8% (1,663)
Away
47.8% (2,366)
42.1% (1,694)
By Period
Domi
Cates
P1
48.7%
44.5%
P2
48.3%
43.5%
P3
49.8%
41.2%
OT
43.5%
29.4%
Final 5 min
51.0%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 04:50 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 09:55 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 07:19 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |