Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Domi wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 53.3% vs Monahan 53.9% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 54.8%
Defensive zone
Domi 60.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 54.9%
Result
Max Domi favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Domi
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Domi
Monahan
Last 10: Domi 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Domi
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
2
0
Domi
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
5
Domi
Monahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (847)
54.5% (231)
-0.7%
Power Play
52.1% (96)
58.2% (67)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
52.2% (23)
+4.9%
On power play, Monahan has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Domi is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Domi shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Domi
Monahan
Home
53.9% (445)
53.5% (144)
Away
53.5% (505)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Domi
Monahan
P1
51.4%
52.5%
P2
55.3%
50.9%
P3
54.7%
60.8%
OT
41.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.2%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 15:42 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 04:20 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 16:33 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 16:15 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 03:21 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |