Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.9% vs Monahan 52.8% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 54.3%
Defensive zone
Domi 51.8%
Neutral zone
Domi 53.4%
Result
Max Domi favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Domi
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Domi
Monahan
Last 7: Domi 3-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
3
1
Domi
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Domi
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Domi
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (254)
53.2% (823)
-2.8%
Power Play
59.3% (27)
55.3% (159)
+4.0%
On power play, Domi has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Domi is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Domi shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Domi
Monahan
Home
50.0% (174)
54.6% (529)
Away
53.3% (107)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Domi
Monahan
P1
45.7%
49.0%
P2
51.5%
55.4%
P3
57.3%
53.6%
OT
50.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
38.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:13 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:01 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |