Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 18-15 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 55.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 73.7%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 66.9%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Domi
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
15
(33 meetings)
18
15
Domi
Karlsson
Last 10: Domi 6-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
7
3
Domi
Karlsson
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
7
Domi
Karlsson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
9
5
Domi
Karlsson
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (4,296)
51.8% (7,849)
-3.7%
Power Play
53.4% (633)
54.8% (1,048)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
44.2% (1,109)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,341).
Domi shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Domi
Karlsson
Home
49.7% (2,604)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
47.8% (2,366)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Domi
Karlsson
P1
48.7%
50.3%
P2
48.3%
51.3%
P3
49.8%
52.4%
OT
43.5%
44.9%
Final 5 min
51.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 10:08 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 14:03 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 01:10 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:24 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 02:31 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 10:35 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 31, 2019 | 3 | 15:05 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 31, 2019 | 3 | 14:58 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 31, 2019 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | William Karlsson |