Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Domi wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 53.3% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 61.7%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 51.5%
Neutral zone
Domi 55.6%
Result
Max Domi favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Domi
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Domi
Karlsson
Last 10: Domi 5-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
3
2
Domi
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Domi
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Domi
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (847)
55.3% (897)
-1.5%
Power Play
52.1% (96)
61.1% (113)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
50.8% (132)
+6.3%
On power play, Karlsson has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Domi is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Domi shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Domi
Karlsson
Home
53.9% (445)
58.6% (560)
Away
53.5% (505)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Domi
Karlsson
P1
51.4%
55.8%
P2
55.3%
55.6%
P3
54.7%
55.7%
OT
41.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.2%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 01:10 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:24 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 02:31 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 10:35 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | William Karlsson |