Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.0% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 72.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 77.5%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 75.1%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 75.0%
25.0%
75.0%
Domi
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Domi
Karlsson
Last 6: Domi 4-2 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
0
Domi
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Domi
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
3
1
Domi
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (394)
56.3% (739)
-6.6%
Power Play
51.7% (58)
58.6% (181)
-6.9%
On power play, Karlsson has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Domi is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (308).
Domi shoots left. Karlsson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Domi
Karlsson
Home
53.2% (235)
56.5% (462)
Away
46.5% (217)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Domi
Karlsson
P1
54.4%
57.1%
P2
46.6%
55.2%
P3
49.6%
56.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 10:08 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 14:03 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | William Karlsson |