Max Pacioretty vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pacioretty on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pacioretty 46.4% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Pacioretty leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Pacioretty 50.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 94.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 82.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Pacioretty
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Pacioretty
O'Reilly
Last 10: Pacioretty 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pacioretty
4
1
Pacioretty
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Pacioretty
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pacioretty
3
1
Pacioretty
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pacioretty
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (243)
56.2% (15,260)
-13.0%
Power Play
50.5% (97)
58.8% (3,445)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
51.4% (2,811)
-1.4%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Pacioretty is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (196).
Pacioretty shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Pacioretty
O'Reilly
Home
46.6% (174)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
44.1% (170)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Pacioretty
O'Reilly
P1
47.2%
55.6%
P2
47.0%
57.0%
P3
41.6%
55.1%
OT
40.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
45.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pacioretty
40.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 14:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 12:11 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 26, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 13, 2020 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Pacioretty |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Max Pacioretty |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 13:50 | Offensive | Max Pacioretty |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Max Pacioretty |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Max Pacioretty |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Max Pacioretty |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Max Pacioretty |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 00:25 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |