Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +34.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pacioretty 47.7% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-34.6%)
Offensive zone
Pacioretty 54.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 74.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 57.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Pacioretty
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pacioretty
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
25.0% (8)
56.6% (1,064)
-31.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
60.4% (260)
-60.4%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +60.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Pacioretty is 20.0% vs left-shot opponents (5).
Pacioretty shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Pacioretty
O'Reilly
Home
33.3% (3)
54.9% (801)
Away
16.7% (6)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Pacioretty
O'Reilly
P1
40.0%
58.0%
P2
0.0%
56.7%
P3
0.0%
55.4%
Final 5 min
0.0%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pacioretty
40.0%▼
48.0%
22.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%