Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +24.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pacioretty 47.0% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-24.5%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 56.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 56.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 59.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Pacioretty
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pacioretty
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (15)
55.0% (1,084)
-21.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
56.8% (303)
-56.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +56.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Pacioretty is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Pacioretty shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Pacioretty
O'Reilly
Home
33.3% (6)
54.8% (759)
Away
27.3% (11)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Pacioretty
O'Reilly
P1
33.3%
55.3%
P2
40.0%
51.9%
P3
0.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
83.3%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pacioretty
40.0%▼
48.0%
29.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%