Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pacioretty on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pacioretty wins 65.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pacioretty 51.5% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 65.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 93.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 81.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 72.2%
27.8%
72.2%
Pacioretty
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Pacioretty
O'Reilly
Last 7: Pacioretty 7-0 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pacioretty
4
0
Pacioretty
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pacioretty
3
0
Pacioretty
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pacioretty
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (85)
57.3% (1,073)
-7.9%
Power Play
81.8% (11)
58.5% (258)
+23.3%
On power play, Pacioretty has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Pacioretty is 65.4% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Pacioretty shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (962).
Home / Away
Pacioretty
O'Reilly
Home
56.1% (66)
59.2% (765)
Away
46.7% (30)
54.0% (791)
By Period
Pacioretty
O'Reilly
P1
59.3%
55.6%
P2
52.9%
61.0%
P3
50.0%
52.3%
OT
33.3%
61.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
58.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pacioretty
40.0%▼
48.0%
53.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2020 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Pacioretty |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Max Pacioretty |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 13:50 | Offensive | Max Pacioretty |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Max Pacioretty |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Max Pacioretty |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Max Pacioretty |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Max Pacioretty |