Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Sasson wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sasson 44.0% vs Roy 51.9% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sasson 73.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 67.2%
Neutral zone
Sasson 52.1%
Result
Max Sasson favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Sasson
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Sasson
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Sasson
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sasson
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (266)
51.9% (547)
-10.2%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
54.1% (37)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
53.3% (92)
-53.3%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Sasson is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Sasson shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Sasson
Roy
Home
35.6% (101)
54.0% (328)
Away
45.4% (185)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Sasson
Roy
P1
41.5%
53.5%
P2
38.1%
51.6%
P3
46.5%
51.6%
Final 5 min
46.3%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sasson
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 06:33 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |