Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Sasson wins 41.1% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sasson 43.8% vs Roy 48.4% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Sasson 77.7%
Defensive zone
Sasson 54.2%
Neutral zone
Sasson 60.3%
Result
Max Sasson favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Sasson
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Sasson
Roy
Last 8: Sasson 2-6 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Sasson
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sasson
2
1
Sasson
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
4
Sasson
Roy
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sasson
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
42.2% (374)
48.7% (3,719)
-6.5%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
49.5% (283)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
45.5% (477)
-45.5%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Sasson is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Sasson shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Sasson
Roy
Home
38.8% (160)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
44.5% (236)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Sasson
Roy
P1
43.8%
50.8%
P2
38.8%
46.3%
P3
44.5%
48.1%
Final 5 min
44.9%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sasson
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.2%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 06:33 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:04 | Neutral | Max Sasson |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:37 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:10 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Max Sasson |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:36 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 05:17 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |