Elias Lindholm vs Michael McCarron
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.2% vs 54.4%). Look for McCarron on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs McCarron 54.0% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 77.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 86.2%
Neutral zone
McCarron 59.2%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Lindholm
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Lindholm
McCarron
Last 9: Lindholm 3-6 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
3
Lindholm
McCarron
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Lindholm
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
54.2% (756)
+0.7%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
55.6% (9)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
55.1% (158)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Lindholm is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Lindholm shoots right. McCarron is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Lindholm
McCarron
Home
54.4% (688)
54.6% (445)
Away
56.1% (686)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Lindholm
McCarron
P1
57.2%
53.6%
P2
54.3%
55.6%
P3
54.2%
53.7%
OT
54.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:31 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 17:16 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 05:56 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |