Kevin Stenlund vs Michael McCarron
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Stenlund wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs McCarron 52.8% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 51.0%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 54.5%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 54.2%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Stenlund
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
Stenlund
McCarron
Last 8: Stenlund 0-8 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Stenlund
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
6
Stenlund
McCarron
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
54.5% (618)
-0.1%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
42.1% (19)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
35.3% (34)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Stenlund is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Stenlund shoots right. McCarron is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Stenlund
McCarron
Home
50.7% (402)
52.2% (339)
Away
52.0% (433)
54.2% (332)
By Period
Stenlund
McCarron
P1
56.5%
53.5%
P2
52.4%
50.6%
P3
45.2%
55.9%
Final 5 min
48.1%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 14:19 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 13:04 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 07:32 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 17:47 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:07 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 16:52 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 14:02 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |