Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kasper wins 60.3% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 49.8% vs McCarron 52.5% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 86.8%
Defensive zone
McCarron 53.3%
Neutral zone
Kasper 56.3%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Kasper
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Kasper
McCarron
Last 7: Kasper 1-6 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Kasper
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
4
Kasper
McCarron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kasper
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (350)
53.1% (672)
-2.0%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
18.2% (11)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
53.7% (205)
-22.1%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Kasper is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Kasper shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Kasper
McCarron
Home
51.1% (184)
52.8% (477)
Away
48.5% (194)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Kasper
McCarron
P1
53.8%
56.5%
P2
52.2%
53.2%
P3
42.6%
49.0%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.7%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 14:42 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 09:58 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |