Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.8% vs Kadri 49.0% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 85.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 79.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 57.3%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
McCarron
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
McCarron
Kadri
Last 7: McCarron 3-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
0
McCarron
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCarron
Kadri
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
3
McCarron
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (618)
47.7% (975)
+6.8%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
54.0% (226)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (34)
55.6% (9)
-20.3%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
McCarron shoots right. Kadri is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (416).
Home / Away
McCarron
Kadri
Home
52.2% (339)
48.3% (621)
Away
54.2% (332)
49.6% (589)
By Period
McCarron
Kadri
P1
53.5%
48.1%
P2
50.6%
48.9%
P3
55.9%
49.8%
Final 5 min
45.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 01:53 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 18:43 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 16:27 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |