Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McCarron wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 54.0% vs Kadri 46.5% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 61.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 96.3%
Neutral zone
McCarron 76.9%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
McCarron
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
McCarron
Kadri
Last 10: McCarron 8-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
3
McCarron
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
5
0
McCarron
Kadri
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
4
1
McCarron
Kadri
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (756)
45.7% (1,295)
+8.5%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
52.7% (146)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (158)
34.8% (23)
+20.3%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
McCarron shoots right. Kadri is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (434).
Home / Away
McCarron
Kadri
Home
54.6% (445)
46.5% (725)
Away
54.2% (478)
46.0% (739)
By Period
McCarron
Kadri
P1
53.6%
47.2%
P2
55.6%
44.9%
P3
53.7%
46.3%
OT
100.0%
51.4%
Final 5 min
53.5%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 15:05 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:45 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 16:48 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 13:10 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 05:00 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:16 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |