Michael McCarron vs Patrick Brown
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McCarron wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 53.4% vs Brown 56.8% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarron 64.1%
Defensive zone
Brown 55.5%
Neutral zone
McCarron 53.5%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
McCarron
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
McCarron
Brown
Last 7: McCarron 3-4 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCarron
Brown
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCarron
Brown
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
1
2
McCarron
Brown
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (308)
61.3% (336)
-3.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
45.9% (74)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Brown has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. McCarron is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (130).
McCarron shoots right. Brown is 60.5% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
McCarron
Brown
Home
48.3% (147)
61.1% (180)
Away
58.7% (206)
56.4% (234)
By Period
McCarron
Brown
P1
53.4%
57.5%
P2
59.5%
58.5%
P3
50.0%
59.2%
Final 5 min
54.8%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 02:15 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:35 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:58 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |