Michael McCarron vs Patrick Brown
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McCarron wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.7% vs Brown 54.6% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarron 52.9%
Defensive zone
Brown 53.5%
Neutral zone
Brown 54.0%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
McCarron
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
McCarron
Brown
Last 7: McCarron 3-4 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCarron
Brown
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCarron
Brown
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
1
2
McCarron
Brown
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (2,901)
56.5% (726)
-3.1%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
62.5% (8)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (463)
47.8% (136)
+2.7%
On power play, Brown has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. McCarron is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,047).
McCarron shoots right. Brown is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
McCarron
Brown
Home
52.3% (1,696)
57.4% (364)
Away
53.3% (1,754)
53.6% (506)
By Period
McCarron
Brown
P1
53.9%
51.4%
P2
52.5%
54.6%
P3
52.0%
58.8%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 02:15 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:35 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:58 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |