Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 53.4% vs Gagner 47.5% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 54.2%
Defensive zone
Gagner 51.9%
Neutral zone
Gagner 52.7%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
McCarron
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McCarron
Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
McCarron
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (308)
51.3% (158)
+6.2%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
66.7% (36)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
33.6% (110)
-1.0%
On power play, Gagner has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. McCarron is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (130).
McCarron shoots right. Gagner is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Home / Away
McCarron
Gagner
Home
48.3% (147)
53.2% (154)
Away
58.7% (206)
40.0% (150)
By Period
McCarron
Gagner
P1
53.4%
35.6%
P2
59.5%
52.7%
P3
50.0%
51.9%
Final 5 min
54.8%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |