Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.8% vs Gagner 52.4% (-9.3%)
Offensive zone
Gagner 68.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 77.4%
Neutral zone
McCarron 54.3%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
McCarron
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (618)
76.5% (17)
-22.0%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
28.6% (7)
+13.5%
On even strength, Gagner has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. McCarron is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (208).
McCarron shoots right. Gagner is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Home / Away
McCarron
Gagner
Home
52.2% (339)
75.0% (16)
Away
54.2% (332)
37.5% (8)
By Period
McCarron
Gagner
P1
53.5%
25.0%
P2
50.6%
64.3%
P3
55.9%
83.3%
Final 5 min
45.9%
70.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%