Michael McCarron vs Tyson Kozak
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.7% vs Kozak 48.8% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarron 64.0%
Defensive zone
McCarron 74.8%
Neutral zone
McCarron 70.1%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
McCarron
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
McCarron
Kozak
Last 5: McCarron 5-0 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
5
0
McCarron
Kozak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (2,901)
48.3% (431)
+5.1%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
62.5% (8)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (463)
48.9% (45)
+1.6%
On power play, Kozak has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
McCarron shoots right. Kozak is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
McCarron
Kozak
Home
52.3% (1,696)
47.6% (229)
Away
53.3% (1,754)
49.4% (255)
By Period
McCarron
Kozak
P1
53.9%
54.4%
P2
52.5%
45.7%
P3
52.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
50.7%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 10:40 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 2 | 12:26 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 2 | 02:51 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |