Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.5% vs Kozak 49.7% (+3.2%)
Offensive zone
Kozak 57.0%
Defensive zone
McCarron 54.0%
Neutral zone
Kozak 51.1%
Result
Tyson Kozak favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
McCarron
Kozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (672)
49.3% (294)
+3.8%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
60.0% (5)
-41.8%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (205)
50.0% (40)
+3.7%
On power play, Kozak has a +41.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
McCarron shoots right. Kozak is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
McCarron
Kozak
Home
52.8% (477)
45.5% (145)
Away
52.8% (411)
52.6% (194)
By Period
McCarron
Kozak
P1
56.5%
53.4%
P2
53.2%
50.0%
P3
49.0%
44.3%
Final 5 min
52.3%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.6%