Michael McCarron vs Zack Ostapchuk
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ostapchuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McCarron wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 54.0% vs Ostapchuk 49.0% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 77.2%
Defensive zone
McCarron 79.6%
Neutral zone
McCarron 50.0%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
McCarron
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McCarron
Ostapchuk
Last 6: McCarron 3-3 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
3
McCarron
Ostapchuk
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Ostapchuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
0
McCarron
Ostapchuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (756)
48.3% (271)
+5.9%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
25.0% (4)
+30.6%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (158)
71.4% (7)
-16.3%
On power play, McCarron has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
McCarron shoots right. Ostapchuk is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
McCarron
Ostapchuk
Home
54.6% (445)
49.3% (140)
Away
54.2% (478)
47.9% (142)
By Period
McCarron
Ostapchuk
P1
53.6%
49.1%
P2
55.6%
48.9%
P3
53.7%
47.5%
Final 5 min
53.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 03:02 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 15:35 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:17 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |