Michael McCarron vs Zack Ostapchuk
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.5% vs Ostapchuk 50.2% (+2.5%)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 62.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 71.3%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 51.3%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
McCarron
Ostapchuk
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (672)
51.7% (300)
+1.4%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
33.3% (3)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (205)
43.6% (55)
+10.1%
On power play, Ostapchuk has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
McCarron shoots right. Ostapchuk is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
McCarron
Ostapchuk
Home
52.8% (477)
49.1% (161)
Away
52.8% (411)
51.3% (197)
By Period
McCarron
Ostapchuk
P1
56.5%
50.0%
P2
53.2%
45.7%
P3
49.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%