Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs McLeod 63.0% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 94.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 72.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 79.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Horvat
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Horvat
McLeod
Last 10: Horvat 2-8 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
6
Horvat
McLeod
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Horvat
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
64.8% (509)
-11.3%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
68.4% (19)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
65.3% (124)
-14.0%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. McLeod is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Home / Away
Horvat
McLeod
Home
54.2% (714)
64.3% (308)
Away
53.6% (705)
65.7% (344)
By Period
Horvat
McLeod
P1
53.5%
62.9%
P2
56.3%
64.8%
P3
53.5%
67.9%
OT
28.6%
37.5%
Final 5 min
52.3%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:48 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 11:10 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:19 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 08:17 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2 | 11:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2 | 06:10 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |