Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs McLeod 63.0% (-13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 92.5%
Defensive zone
McDavid 75.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 86.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 83.3%
83.3%
16.7%
McDavid
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
McDavid
McLeod
Last 7: McDavid 1-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
McDavid
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
McDavid
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
64.8% (509)
-13.2%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
68.4% (19)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
65.3% (124)
-28.9%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. McDavid is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (249).
McDavid shoots left. McLeod is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Home / Away
McDavid
McLeod
Home
51.8% (415)
64.3% (308)
Away
50.4% (450)
65.7% (344)
By Period
McDavid
McLeod
P1
47.5%
62.9%
P2
51.6%
64.8%
P3
55.5%
67.9%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:29 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 13:41 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 14:01 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 03:20 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |