Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings). McLeod wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 58.0% vs Stastny 55.1% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 83.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 67.9%
Neutral zone
Stastny 55.6%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
McLeod
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
14
(22 meetings)
8
14
McLeod
Stastny
Last 10: McLeod 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
10
McLeod
Stastny
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
2
McLeod
Stastny
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McLeod
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (2,894)
54.6% (10,616)
+4.6%
Power Play
57.4% (101)
59.1% (1,994)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (525)
52.9% (1,119)
+0.6%
On even strength, McLeod has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. McLeod is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,457).
McLeod shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
McLeod
Stastny
Home
58.2% (1,647)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
58.4% (1,873)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
McLeod
Stastny
P1
58.7%
56.3%
P2
59.9%
55.4%
P3
56.3%
53.5%
OT
63.6%
62.9%
Final 5 min
58.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 17:06 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 01:37 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 10:53 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 10:39 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:06 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 10:17 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 14:03 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |