Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). McLeod wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 59.6% vs Stastny 56.3% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 82.1%
Defensive zone
McLeod 73.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 58.5%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
McLeod
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
McLeod
Stastny
Last 10: McLeod 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
5
McLeod
Stastny
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
1
McLeod
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McLeod
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (792)
57.5% (412)
+4.0%
Power Play
65.2% (23)
60.0% (65)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (153)
44.4% (9)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. McLeod is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (720).
McLeod shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
McLeod
Stastny
Home
62.0% (460)
58.3% (276)
Away
59.4% (508)
56.7% (210)
By Period
McLeod
Stastny
P1
61.5%
63.7%
P2
63.6%
57.3%
P3
56.2%
50.4%
Final 5 min
60.8%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 17:06 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 01:37 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 10:53 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 10:39 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:06 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 10:17 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |