Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.3% vs 56.6%). Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McLeod wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 56.6% vs Stastny 55.4% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 87.1%
Defensive zone
McLeod 70.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 66.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 87.1%
12.9%
87.1%
McLeod
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
McLeod
Stastny
Last 5: McLeod 0-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
5
McLeod
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (859)
59.2% (370)
-0.9%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
40.9% (44)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (168)
51.7% (58)
+1.3%
On power play, McLeod has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. McLeod is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (778).
McLeod shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
McLeod
Stastny
Home
55.3% (526)
57.7% (215)
Away
59.2% (529)
55.6% (257)
By Period
McLeod
Stastny
P1
60.7%
57.7%
P2
55.9%
54.2%
P3
55.2%
57.7%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 14:03 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:11 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |