Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McLeod wins 60.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 59.6% vs Hartman 44.0% (+17.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 64.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 90.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 90.2%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
McLeod
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
McLeod
Hartman
Last 7: McLeod 5-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
1
McLeod
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
0
McLeod
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (792)
42.6% (495)
+18.9%
Power Play
65.2% (23)
38.5% (26)
+26.7%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (153)
48.8% (43)
+6.8%
On power play, McLeod has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McLeod is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (248).
McLeod shoots right. Hartman is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
McLeod
Hartman
Home
62.0% (460)
43.4% (288)
Away
59.4% (508)
42.4% (276)
By Period
McLeod
Hartman
P1
61.5%
43.1%
P2
63.6%
43.4%
P3
56.2%
42.0%
OT
73.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 07:11 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 09:45 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:59 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 12:00 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:40 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |