Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +18.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McLeod wins 59.6% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 63.0% vs Hartman 47.3% (+18.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 67.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 91.7%
Neutral zone
McLeod 90.9%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 86.5%
86.5%
13.5%
McLeod
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McLeod
Hartman
Last 5: McLeod 4-1 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
1
McLeod
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
64.8% (509)
47.1% (649)
+17.7%
Power Play
68.4% (19)
47.1% (68)
+21.3%
Penalty Kill
65.3% (124)
45.2% (73)
+20.1%
On power play, McLeod has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McLeod is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (156).
McLeod shoots right. Hartman is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
McLeod
Hartman
Home
64.3% (308)
46.5% (361)
Away
65.7% (344)
47.3% (429)
By Period
McLeod
Hartman
P1
62.9%
45.1%
P2
64.8%
44.4%
P3
67.9%
50.9%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
66.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |