Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McLeod wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 56.6% vs Couturier 54.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 63.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 85.0%
Neutral zone
McLeod 59.0%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
McLeod
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
McLeod
Couturier
Last 10: McLeod 7-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
4
1
McLeod
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McLeod
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (859)
57.4% (303)
+0.9%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
65.5% (55)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (168)
40.0% (70)
+13.0%
On power play, Couturier has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. McLeod is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (778).
McLeod shoots right. Couturier is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
McLeod
Couturier
Home
55.3% (526)
54.3% (219)
Away
59.2% (529)
56.9% (209)
By Period
McLeod
Couturier
P1
60.7%
53.2%
P2
55.9%
54.8%
P3
55.2%
57.9%
OT
66.7%
71.4%
Final 5 min
55.0%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 07:09 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:20 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 1 | 02:52 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |