Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). McLeod wins 66.7% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 63.0% vs Couturier 53.2% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 60.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 96.1%
Neutral zone
McLeod 83.0%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
McLeod
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
McLeod
Couturier
Last 10: McLeod 7-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
McLeod
Couturier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
7
0
McLeod
Couturier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
1
McLeod
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
64.8% (509)
53.8% (1,003)
+11.0%
Power Play
68.4% (19)
56.4% (202)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
65.3% (124)
42.7% (89)
+22.6%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. McLeod is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (496).
McLeod shoots right. Couturier is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
McLeod
Couturier
Home
64.3% (308)
54.4% (680)
Away
65.7% (344)
52.4% (614)
By Period
McLeod
Couturier
P1
62.9%
56.3%
P2
64.8%
51.8%
P3
67.9%
52.2%
OT
37.5%
60.9%
Final 5 min
66.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | OT | 02:17 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 19, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 19:39 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:12 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 10:30 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 08:45 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 04:31 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 15:28 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 03:42 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |