Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 21 meetings). McLeod wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 58.0% vs Kuraly 50.3% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 32-15 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 96.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 89.9%
Neutral zone
McLeod 95.6%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 93.2%
93.2%
6.8%
McLeod
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
15
(47 meetings)
32
15
McLeod
Kuraly
Last 10: McLeod 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
6
5
McLeod
Kuraly
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
16
5
McLeod
Kuraly
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
10
5
McLeod
Kuraly
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (2,894)
51.5% (5,141)
+7.7%
Power Play
57.4% (101)
56.0% (100)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (525)
44.2% (1,086)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McLeod is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,457).
McLeod shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Home / Away
McLeod
Kuraly
Home
58.2% (1,647)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
58.4% (1,873)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
McLeod
Kuraly
P1
58.7%
51.1%
P2
59.9%
49.9%
P3
56.3%
50.0%
OT
63.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
58.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2024 | 3 | 10:47 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 2 | 05:36 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 01:48 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:46 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:51 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 03:59 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 03:46 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 12:47 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 06:39 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 10:54 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |