Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McLeod wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 59.6% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 95.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 59.6%
Neutral zone
McLeod 91.7%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
McLeod
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
3
(14 meetings)
11
3
McLeod
Kuraly
Last 10: McLeod 8-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
1
McLeod
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
5
0
McLeod
Kuraly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
4
2
McLeod
Kuraly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (792)
49.2% (901)
+12.3%
Power Play
65.2% (23)
68.2% (22)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (153)
49.8% (219)
+5.8%
On even strength, McLeod has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McLeod is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (720).
McLeod shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
McLeod
Kuraly
Home
62.0% (460)
51.7% (603)
Away
59.4% (508)
47.3% (539)
By Period
McLeod
Kuraly
P1
61.5%
50.9%
P2
63.6%
49.5%
P3
56.2%
49.1%
OT
73.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:46 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:51 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 03:59 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 03:46 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 12:47 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 06:39 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 10:54 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |