Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings). McLeod wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 56.6% vs Kuraly 49.5% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 66.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 77.3%
Neutral zone
McLeod 81.1%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
McLeod
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
8
(19 meetings)
11
8
McLeod
Kuraly
Last 10: McLeod 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
3
McLeod
Kuraly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
8
5
McLeod
Kuraly
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (859)
52.3% (982)
+6.0%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
41.9% (43)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (168)
39.2% (245)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McLeod is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (778).
McLeod shoots right. Kuraly is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (411).
Home / Away
McLeod
Kuraly
Home
55.3% (526)
50.3% (680)
Away
59.2% (529)
48.5% (590)
By Period
McLeod
Kuraly
P1
60.7%
49.5%
P2
55.9%
49.6%
P3
55.2%
49.0%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.0%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 19:40 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 15:43 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 15:35 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 04:17 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 16:29 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 16:24 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 13:21 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 02:00 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 13:26 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 02:27 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |