Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McLeod wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 56.6% vs Nosek 53.4% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 52.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 83.1%
Neutral zone
McLeod 74.5%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
McLeod
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
McLeod
Nosek
Last 8: McLeod 5-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
0
McLeod
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
1
McLeod
Nosek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
McLeod
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (859)
55.1% (557)
+3.2%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (168)
47.7% (111)
+5.3%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. McLeod is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (778).
McLeod shoots right. Nosek is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
McLeod
Nosek
Home
55.3% (526)
52.3% (342)
Away
59.2% (529)
55.5% (330)
By Period
McLeod
Nosek
P1
60.7%
49.0%
P2
55.9%
53.8%
P3
55.2%
57.9%
Final 5 min
55.0%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 06:46 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 07:34 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 07:28 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 19:24 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |